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Chelsea vs Ajax

Chelsea vs Ajax

Chelsea vs Ajax: UEFA Champions League 2025/26 – Preview, Prediction, Team News, and Lineups

amy by amy
October 20, 2025
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After a turbulent start to their European campaign, Chelsea FC return to Stamford Bridge on Wednesday night to face Ajax Amsterdam in a highly anticipated UEFA Champions League league phase clash.
For the Blues, this fixture offers a chance to build momentum and consolidate their position among the top twenty in the standings. For Ajax, it’s a desperate fight to revive their continental hopes after a disastrous opening to the campaign. Read below to find all insights needed for Chelsea vs Ajax on News Iraq.

Match Context: Pressure Mounts in London

The Chelsea vs Ajax match represents two teams at opposite ends of confidence and form.
Chelsea FC, under Enzo Maresca, have shown resilience after a mixed start, winning three of their last four matches across all competitions. Their 1–0 win over Benfica on Matchday 2 restored stability and belief, and their recent 3–0 triumph over Nottingham Forest in the Premier League highlighted tactical maturity and defensive improvement.

Ajax, on the other hand, are enduring a European nightmare. The Dutch giants sit near the bottom of the league phase standings after suffering heavy defeats to Inter (0–2) and Marseille (0–4).
Head coach John Heitinga faces mounting pressure as the team continues to leak goals, while their attacking rhythm has all but disappeared. The clash at Stamford Bridge offers Ajax a slim opportunity to reset their campaign — but they’ll need something extraordinary to overcome Chelsea’s form at home.

Form Guide

Team Last 5 Matches Wins Draws Losses Goals Scored Goals Conceded
Chelsea W – W – W – L – W 4 0 1 9 3
Ajax L – D – D – L – L 0 2 3 5 13

Chelsea’s upward trajectory continues to impress. The Blues have scored in each of their last 17 European fixtures, and have lost just two of their last 60 home European matches. Ajax, by contrast, are winless in their last five Champions League appearances, conceding 15 goals in that span.

Team News and Injury Updates

Chelsea FC

Manager Enzo Maresca continues to juggle a long list of injuries and suspensions.

  • Cole Palmer (groin) remains sidelined until late November.

  • Liam Delap, Levi Colwill, and Dario Essugo are out with long-term injuries.

  • Benoît Badiashile suffered a muscle recurrence and is out until December.

  • Joao Pedro is suspended after his red card against Benfica.

  • Enzo Fernández faces a late fitness test for a knee issue.

Despite these absences, Chelsea’s squad depth offers solutions. The midfield pairing of Moises Caicedo and Andrey Santos impressed against Forest, while young forwards Pedro Neto and Estevao Willian add flair in the final third.

Predicted lineup (4-2-3-1):
Sanchez; Gusto, Fofana, Tosin, Cucurella; Caicedo, Santos; Neto, Estevao, Gittens; Guiu.

Ajax FC

Ajax’s troubles are compounded by injuries and inconsistent performances.
They have yet to find a settled backline, and confidence remains fragile after heavy losses.
Heitinga is expected to retain his 4-3-3 setup, relying on youth and pace to counter Chelsea’s possession game.

Predicted lineup (4-3-3):
Rulli; Sanchez, Hato, Kaplan, Wijndal; Mannsverk, Taylor, Fitz-Jim; Bergwijn, Brobbey, Berghuis.

Tactical Preview

Chelsea: Maresca’s Structured Aggression

Enzo Maresca’s philosophy continues to evolve, balancing his trademark possession-based buildup with more direct transitions. Chelsea FC operate in a flexible 4-2-3-1 that morphs into a 3-2-5 during attacks.
The full-backs push high, the double pivot controls tempo, and Estevao plays a crucial creative role behind the striker.

Expect Moises Caicedo to dictate rhythm, with Pedro Neto’s width and Gittens’ pace pinning Ajax’s full-backs deep. Chelsea’s pressing triggers are well-rehearsed — they’ll look to exploit Ajax’s hesitancy in buildup.

Ajax FC: Tradition Under Pressure

Ajax remain loyal to their attacking DNA but struggle with execution.
Heitinga’s side presses high in bursts but often leaves gaps in midfield and behind the defensive line — a weakness Chelsea’s wide players are well-equipped to exploit.

The Dutch side’s transition play depends heavily on Steven Bergwijn and Brian Brobbey, yet their creativity in the final third has dried up. Unless Ajax rediscover their confidence, they may find themselves chasing shadows at Stamford Bridge.

Players to Watch

Chelsea FC

  • Moises Caicedo: The Ecuadorian has emerged as the heartbeat of Chelsea’s midfield, vital for controlling tempo and shielding the defense.

  • Estevao Willian: The teenage sensation continues to dazzle with flair and vision.

  • Pedro Neto: Direct, creative, and in strong form — Chelsea FC’s most consistent winger this season.

Ajax FC

  • Steven Bergwijn: The captain and emotional leader; Ajax’s hopes rest on his ability to stretch Chelsea’s defense.

  • Brian Brobbey: A physical forward who can trouble defenses if given service.

  • Jorrel Hato: Facing his former club, the young defender will be keen to prove himself on familiar ground.

Head-to-Head Record

Matches Chelsea Wins Ajax Wins Draws
2 1 0 1

The only previous meetings Chelsea vs Ajax came during the 2019/20 group stage, producing unforgettable drama.
Chelsea won 1–0 in Amsterdam before a thrilling 4–4 draw at Stamford Bridge, a game remembered for Ajax finishing with nine men and Reece James scoring a late equaliser.

Chelsea remain unbeaten in four matches against Dutch sides (W3 D1), while Ajax have not won any of their last 11 encounters against English opponents.

Chelsea vs Ajax Outlook and Prediction

Chelsea enter this clash as clear favorites, with superior form, depth, and home advantage. Maresca’s side has developed a disciplined identity built around technical control and pressing intensity, while Ajax appear short of both confidence and structure.

Ajax’s inability to keep clean sheets and Chelsea’s ruthless pressing in midfield suggest the English side will dominate possession and territory throughout.

Prediction: Chelsea 3 – 0 Ajax
Chelsea to maintain their perfect home record in Europe this season with a confident and controlled performance.

Betting Tips – Chelsea vs Ajax

For fans following European football and sports betting in Iraq, this fixture presents intriguing options rooted in form and data analysis rather than risk.

Recommended Analytical Picks

  • Chelsea to Win & Over 2.5 Goals: Given Ajax FC’s defensive record, this combined outcome offers balanced value.

  • Both Teams to Score – No: Ajax’s goal drought in Europe makes this a logical pick.

  • Pedro Neto to Score Anytime: The Portuguese winger has been Chelsea’s spark in key matches.

  • Correct Score 3–0 Chelsea: Reflects the likely dominance of the home side and Ajax’s lack of cutting edge.

Chelsea’s consistency under Maresca and Ajax FC’s ongoing struggles underline a clear hierarchy in this contest. For analytical bettors and football enthusiasts, this Chelsea vs Ajax match offers insight into how tactical evolution and squad balance can translate into predictable outcomes.

As always, responsible betting remains key — football is best enjoyed when passion leads, not pressure.

Tags: AjaxChampions LeagueChelseaChelsea Vs Ajax
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