{"id":34279,"date":"2026-06-03T00:43:15","date_gmt":"2026-06-02T19:43:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/news.iq\/?p=34279"},"modified":"2026-06-03T00:43:15","modified_gmt":"2026-06-02T19:43:15","slug":"el-nino-80-percent-summer-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.iq\/en\/el-nino-80-percent-summer-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"El Ni\u00f1o likelihood reaches 80% this summer with warnings of extreme weather"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The World Meteorological Organization confirmed on Tuesday that the likelihood of El Ni\u00f1o occurring between June and August reaches 80%, potentially intensifying extreme weather phenomena globally.<\/p>\n<p>Exceptional warming in Pacific Ocean waters is creating conditions conducive to the phenomenon, which is expected to affect global temperature patterns and rainfall distribution.<\/p>\n<p>The organization warns that the probability of the phenomenon persisting through November exceeds 90%, with expectations of moderate to strong intensity.<\/p>\n<h2>80% likelihood of El Ni\u00f1o in the coming three months<\/h2>\n<p>The World Meteorological Organization stated in its latest report that the probability of El Ni\u00f1o occurring between June and August 2026 reaches 80%.<\/p>\n<p>The organization noted that exceptional warming of Pacific Ocean waters is creating favorable conditions for the phenomenon&#8217;s formation.<\/p>\n<p>The phenomenon is expected to influence global temperature patterns and precipitation across the world.<\/p>\n<h3>Probability of continuation through November<\/h3>\n<p>The organization confirmed that the likelihood of El Ni\u00f1o persisting through November at minimum exceeds 90%.<\/p>\n<p>The organization forecasts a phenomenon of moderate intensity at minimum, potentially reaching strong intensity.<\/p>\n<h2>Exceptional temperature rise in tropical Pacific<\/h2>\n<p>Between late April and mid-May, sea surface temperatures in the central-eastern tropical Pacific approached the thresholds that characterize El Ni\u00f1o.<\/p>\n<p>This warming was driven by exceptionally high temperatures exceeding seasonal averages by more than 6 degrees Celsius.<\/p>\n<p>Values of the Southern Oscillation Index, which represents the atmospheric component of El Ni\u00f1o, align with conditions favoring the phenomenon&#8217;s emergence.<\/p>\n<h2>Warnings of extreme weather phenomena<\/h2>\n<p>Celeste Saulo, Secretary-General of the World Meteorological Organization, stated:<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We must prepare for a phase of El Ni\u00f1o that could be strong, exacerbating drought and heavy rainfall, and increasing the risk of heat waves both over land and in the oceans.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The organization warned that even moderate-intensity El Ni\u00f1o increases the probability of various extreme weather and climate phenomena.<\/p>\n<h3>Expected impacts<\/h3>\n<p>Potential effects may include:<\/p>\n<p>Severe heat waves<br \/>\nDrought in specific regions<br \/>\nHeavy rainfall and flooding in other areas<br \/>\nDisruptions to global climate patterns<\/p>\n<h2>Understanding El Ni\u00f1o<\/h2>\n<p>El Ni\u00f1o is characterized by rising sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean.<\/p>\n<p>It typically occurs every two to seven years and lasts nine to twelve months.<\/p>\n<p>It represents a natural cycle in climate systems and affects:<\/p>\n<p>Global temperatures<br \/>\nRainfall patterns<br \/>\nGlobal atmospheric circulation<\/p>\n<h3>Lessons from previous El Ni\u00f1o events<\/h3>\n<p>El Ni\u00f1o episodes in 2023 and 2024 made those years the warmest on record.<\/p>\n<p>These events demonstrated that the phenomenon&#8217;s impact extends for several months, influencing the global climate sequentially.<\/p>\n<h2>Conclusion:<\/h2>\n<p>The World Meteorological Organization warns of a high probability of El Ni\u00f1o occurrence in the coming months, with forecasts of moderate to strong intensity. Reports indicate the need to prepare for potential extreme weather impacts globally during the forthcoming period.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The World Meteorological Organization confirmed on Tuesday that the likelihood of El Ni\u00f1o occurring between June and August reaches 80%, potentially intensifying extreme weather phenomena globally. Exceptional warming in Pacific Ocean waters is creating conditions conducive to the phenomenon, which is expected to affect global temperature patterns and rainfall distribution. The organization warns that the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":34281,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_sitemap_exclude":false,"_sitemap_priority":"","_sitemap_frequency":"","jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"subtitle":"","format":"standard","override":[{"template":"7","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"left-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"topbottom","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"1","show_view_counter":"1","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"1","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"1","show_post_reading_time":"0","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","post_calculate_word_method":"str_word_count","show_zoom_button":"0","zoom_button_out_step":"2","zoom_button_in_step":"3","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"1","show_popup_post":"1","show_comment_section":"1","number_popup_post":"1","show_author_box":"1","show_post_related":"0","show_inline_post_related":"0"}],"image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-500","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":[],"jnews_social_meta":[],"jnews_override_counter":{"view_counter_number":"0","share_counter_number":"0","like_counter_number":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"jnews_post_split":{"post_split":[{"template":"1","tag":"h2","numbering":"asc","mode":"normal","first":"0","enable_toc":"0","toc_type":"normal"}]},"footnotes":""},"categories":[80],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-34279","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-international"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.iq\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34279","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.iq\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.iq\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.iq\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.iq\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=34279"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/news.iq\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34279\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":34283,"href":"https:\/\/news.iq\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34279\/revisions\/34283"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.iq\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/34281"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.iq\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=34279"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.iq\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=34279"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.iq\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=34279"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}